USDINR opened at 74.83 y’day and the pair traded in the 74.66-74.87 range. Spot USDINR closed at 74.69, loss of 18 ps USD as against prior close of 74.87. RBI reference rate was fixed at 74.76 on 02/11. Nov USD/INR closed at 74.95, loss of 22 ps for USD as compared to prior day’s close of 75.17. Oct Euro/INR closed at 86.95, GBP/INR at 102.23 and Yen/INR at 66.03. USDINR fwd premia was trading at around 4.60% p.a. FX reserves is at USD 640 bn.
| PAIRS | RBI REF RATE (02/11) |
| USDINR | 74.76 |
| EURINR | 86.74 |
| GBPINR | 102.01 |
| JPYINR | 65.76 |
In Oct, FII’S have net sold Rs 12205 cr in Equity segment and have net sold Rs 1816 cr of debt. In this financial year, FII’S have net sold Rs 4994 Cr worth of Indian Equities and have bought Rs 17572 Cr worth of Indian debt. In 2020-21 financial Year, FII’S nett bought Rs 2,74,203 Cr of Equities and have sold Rs 42820 Cr in debt.
Benchmark Nifty declined 0.23% y’day. DOW climbed 89 points (0.25%). Nikkei was down 0.43% and Hang seng declined 0.22% y’day.
Euro is now at 1.1579, Pound at 1.3653, Yen at 113.98.
Commodities: Gold is now at USD 1785 and WT1Crude at USD 82.70/Brent at USD 83.88.
Interest rates: USD 10 Yr yield is at 1.55% and 3 m libor closed at 0.12%. Indian 10 yr benchmark yield closed at 6.36%.
Economic news: Indian Exports climbed to USD 35.5 bn in Oct. Imports declined marginally to USD 55.4 bn. Oct trade deficit stands at USD 19.9 bn. FOMC decision awaited.
Data highlights: – EU PMI(mfrg) was reported at 58.3.
Wednesday’s calendar: – US ADP employment report
-US Factory orders, ISM(non mfrg)
-EU unemployment rate
-UK PMI(services)
| USD/INR | 74.87 | 74.66 | ||
| EUR/USD | 1.1579 | 1.1614 | 1.1575 | |
| GBP/USD | 1.3653 | ` | 1.3669 | 1.3606 |
| USD/JPY | 113.98 | 114.14 | 113.46 |
Daily Support/Resistance table
| Currency Pairs | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
| EURO/USD | 1.1590 | 1.1605 | 1.1629 | 1.1644 | 1.1566 | 1.1551 | 1.1527 |
| GBP/USD | 1.3630 | 1.3654 | 1.3693 | 1.3717 | 1.3591 | 1.3567 | 1.3529 |
| USD/JPY | 113.86 | 114.26 | 114.54 | 114.94 | 113.58 | 113.18 | 112.90 |
| USD/INR | 74.74 | 74.82 | 74.95 | 74.61 | 74.70 |
MAJOR SUPPORTS/RESISTANCES AND TREND TABLE
| Currency Pair | Supports | Resistances | Trend | Remarks |
| EURO/USD | 1.1525/1.1475 | 1.17 | DN | UP>1.1910 |
| GBP/USD | 1.3655/1.3410 | 1.3835 | SIDE | UP>1.39 |
| USD/JPY | 113.25/112.10 | 114.70 | UP | SIDE<112.10 |
| USD/INR | 74.30 | 75.05/75.16/75.67 | UP | DN<74.70 |
| USD/CHF | 0.9150 | 0.9370 | UP | DN<0.91 |
Technicals: Spot closed above 50 and 100,200 day major moving averages.20 day moving average is at 74.97. 50 day moving average is at 74.20.200 day moving average is at 73.70. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying top at 75.68. Important resistance is at 75.05/75.16 and important support is at 74.30. Spot closed below its average level of the day.
Intraday supports and resistances for Nov contract are:
PP: 74.94, S1:74.76, S2:74.58, R1:75.12, R2:75.30
Hedging strategy: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.
However on directional basis, suggest the following:
USDINR Imports hedging can be done . Exports can be hedged at 75.50+.
Exporters can hedge EURINR receivables exposure at 87+.
CROSS CURRENCY TECHNICALS:
EURO/USD: The pair is below 50, 100 and 200 day moving averages. Major resistance is at 1.17. Next major support is at 1.1525/1.1480. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying an important bottom at 1.1525. Weekly MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.2270.
GBP/USD: The pair is below 50 and 200 day moving averages. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.3835 and weekly MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.4240. Important support is at 1.3650/1.3410. Important resistance is at 1.3840.
USD/YEN: The pair is above major moving averages. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 114.70. Next important resistance is at 114.70. Important support is at 112.10.
For all your investment needs feel free to reach us. Give us a missed call at 90037 90027. For Support : 044-40329999.
