USDINR opened at 74.13 on Friday and the pair traded in the 74.09-74.21 range. Spot USDINR closed at 74.15 , loss of 12 ps for USD as against prior close of 74.27. RBI reference rate was fixed at 74.36 on 18/11. Nov USD/INR closed at 74.19, loss of 9 ps for USD as compared to prior day’s close of 74.28. Nov Euro/INR closed at 87.95, GBP/INR at 98.47 and Yen/INR at 71.41.
FII’S nett bought Rs 45732 Cr of Indian Equities in Oct . FII’S nett bought Rs 1304 Cr of Indian debt securities in Oct . In this financial year, FII’S have nett bought Rs 142210 Cr of Equities and have sold Rs 29728 Cr in debt. In FY 19-20, FII’s have sold Rs 10200 Cr of Equities and 47393 cr of debt.
Benchmark Nifty climbed 0.68% on Friday.DOW declined 219 points (0.75%) .Nikkei declined 0.42% and Hang seng climbed 0.36%.
Euro closed the week at 1.1853,Pound at 1.3282,Yen at 103.85.
Commodities: Gold is now at USD 1870 and WT1Crude at USD 42.44/Brent at USD 45.11.
Interest rates: USD 10 Yr yield is at 0.83% and 3 m libor closed at 0.25%. Indian 10 yr benchmark yield closed at 5.88%.
Economic news: US data on consumer spending and durables order will be the focus events for this week. US FOMC minutes is also due on Thursday.
Data highlights: – EU consumer confidence was reported at -18.
-UK retail sales climbed 1.2% m/m.
Monday’s calendar: – EU PMI(mfrg) and PMI(services)
-UK PMI(mfrg) and PMI(services)
| USD/INR | 74.21 | 74.09 | |
| EUR/USD | 1.1853 | 1.1891 | 1.1849 |
| GBP/USD | 1.3282 | 1.3297 | 1.3245 |
| USD/JPY | 103.85 | 103.92 | 103.70 |
Daily Support/Resistance table
| CurrencyPairs | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
| EURO/USD | 1.1864 | 1.1879 | 1.1906 | 1.1837 | 1.1822 | ||
| GBP/USD | 1.3274 | 1.3304 | 1.3327 | 1.3251 | 1.3221 | ||
| USD/JPY | 103.82
|
103.94 | 104.04 | 103.72 | 103.60
|
|
|
| USD/INR | 74.15 | 74.21 | 74.27 | 74.09 | 74.03 |
MAJOR SUPPORTS/RESISTANCES AND TREND TABLE
| Curency Pair | Supports | Resistances | Trend | Remarks |
| EURO/USD | 1.1745/1.16 | 1.1920/1.2020 | UP | DN<1.16 |
| GBP/USD | 1.305/1.2850 | 1.33/1.3485 | UP | DN<1.2850 |
| USD/JPY | 103.10/101.20 | 105.65/106.10 | DN | UP>105.65 |
| USD/INR | 73.80/73.60 | 74.90 | UP | DN<73.50 |
| USD/CHF | 0.8980 | 0.9210 | DN | UP>0.9210 |
Technicals: Spot closed above 100 and 200 day moving average. 20 day moving average is at 74.20. 50 day moving average is at 73.76.200 day moving average is at 74.36. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying top at 74.86. Important support is at 73.80/73.75 and important resistance is at 74.90 . Spot closed at average level of the day.
Intra day supports and resistances for Nov contract are:
PP:74.17,S1:74.11, S2:74.04, R1:74.24, R2: 74.30.
Hedging strategy for USD/INR: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.
CROSS CURRENCY TECHNICALS:
EURO/USD: The pair is above all major moving averages. Next Major resistance is at 1.1920 and later at 1.20. Major support is at 1.1610. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying an important bottom at 1.1610. Weekly MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.20.
GBP/USD: The pair is above all major moving averages . Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.2850 and weekly MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.2675. Important support is at 1.2850/1.2670 . Important resistance is at 1.33/1.3485.
USD/YEN: The pair is below major moving averages. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 105.70. Next important resistance is at 105.70/106.10. Important support is at 103.10/101.20.
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