USDINR opened at 73.70 y’day and the pair traded in the 73.65-73.93 range. Spot USDINR closed at 73.87 , gain of 16 ps for USD as against prior close of 73.71. RBI reference rate was fixed at 73.73 on Monday. Nov USD/INR closed at 74.08, gain of 22 ps for USD as compared to prior day’s close of 73.86. Nov Euro/INR closed at 87.03, GBP/INR at 96.10 and Yen/INR at 71.04.

FII’S nett bought Rs 15907 Cr of Indian Equities in Oct . FII’S nett bought Rs 2688 Cr of Indian debt securities in Sept . In this financial year, FII’S have nett bought Rs 95390 Cr of Equities and have sold Rs  25860 Cr in debt. In FY 19-20, FII’s have sold Rs 10200 Cr of Equities and 47393 cr of debt.

Benchmark Nifty declined 1.34% y’day. DOW declined 943 points (3.43%).Nikkei declined 0.29% and Hang seng declined 0.32%.

Euro is now at 1.1786,Pound at 1.3034,Yen at 104.46.     

Commodities: Gold is now at USD 1877 and WT1Crude at USD 37.66/Brent at USD 39.83.

Interest rates: USD 10 Yr yield is at 0.78% and 3 m libor closed at 0.25%. Indian 10 yr benchmark yield closed at 5.86%.

Economic news: European Commission launches a new set of actions to curb the spread of coronavirus as Europe becomes the epicenter of the outbreak again. Global stocks melted and USD climbed as a reaction to gloomy scenario. ECB meeting is the focus event for the day.

Germany and France announced second lockdown. US Congress could not agree on fiscal measures as elections approach.

Data highlights: – No major data release.

Thursday’s calendar: – US weekly jobless claims, GDP estimate,pending home sales.


USD/INR   73.93 73.65
EUR/USD 1.1786 1.1839 1.1769
GBP/USD 1.3034 1.3080 1.3001
USD/JPY 104.46 104.83 104.39

Daily Support/Resistance table

CurrencyPairs Pivot R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3
EURO/USD 1.1751 1.1784 1.1821 1.1854 1.1714 1.1681 1.1644
GBP/USD 1.2990 1.3063 1.3136 1.3209 1.2917 1.2844 1.2770
USD/JPY 104.33


104.55 104.77 104.99 104.10 103.89




USD/INR 73.81 73.98 74.10   73.69 73.52  


Curency Pair Supports Resistances Trend Remarks
EURO/USD 1.1610 1.1920/1.20 UP DN<1.16
GBP/USD 1.2610 1.3175/1.3275 UP DN<1.2860
USD/JPY 104.10 106.10/107.50 DN UP>106.10
USD/INR 73.50 73.98/74.10 DN UP>74
USD/CHF 0.90 0.9165/0.93 DN SIDE>0.91

Technicals: Spot closed below 200 day moving average. 20 day moving average is at 73.45. 50 day moving average is at 73.62.200 day moving average is at 74.14. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying bottom at 73.03. Important support is at 73.55/73 and important resistance is at 73.98 and later at 74.10. Spot closed above its average level of the day.

Intra day supports and resistances for Nov contract are:

PP:74,S1:73.90, S2:73.72, R1:74.18, R2: 74.28.                        

Hedging strategy for USD/INR: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.


EURO/USD: The pair is above major moving averages. Next Major resistance is at 1.1920 and later at 1.20. Major support is at 1.1610. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying an important bottom at 1.1610. Weekly MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.20.

GBP/USD: The pair is above all major moving averages. Daily MACD  is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.2674 and weekly MACD is  in sell zone, implying important top at 1.3484. Important support is at 1.2860/1.2670 . Important resistance is at 1.3175/1.3275.

USD/YEN: The pair is below major moving averages. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 106.10. Next important resistance is at 106.10/107.50. Important support is at 104.10.

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