USDINR opened at 73.76 on Friday and the pair traded in the 73.58-73.78 range. Spot USDINR closed at 73.61 , loss of 29 ps for USD as against prior close of 73.90. RBI reference rate was fixed at 73.63 on Wednesday. Sep USD/INR closed at 73.70, loss of 21 ps for USD as compared to prior day’s close of 73.91. Sep Euro/INR closed at 85.79, GBP/INR at 93.76 and Yen/INR at 69.91.
FII’S have nett sold Rs 1671 Cr of Indian Equities in Sept till date . FII’S have nett bought Rs 3468 Cr of Indian debt securities in Sept till date. In this financial year, FII’S have nett bought Rs 85246 Cr of Equities and have sold Rs 37596 Cr in debt. In FY 19-20, FII’s have sold Rs 10200 Cr of Equities and 47393 cr of debt.
Benchmark Nifty climbed 2.26% on Friday. DOW climbed 358 points (1.35%).Nikkei climbed 0.51% and Hang seng declined 0.32%.
Euro closed the week 1.1631,Pound at 1.2745,Yen at 105.60.
Commodities: Gold is now at USD 1864 and WT1Crude at USD 40.05/Brent at USD 41.83.
Interest rates: USD 10 Yr yield is at 0.67% and 3 m libor closed at 0.25%. Indian 10 yr benchmark yield closed at 6.04%.
Economic news: USD gained against majors. Stocks are under pressure, despite recovery on Friday. US stimulus package may stem Equity decline.
Data highlights : – US durables order climbed 0.4% m/m.
Monday’s calendar: – No major data release.
| USD/INR | 73.78 | 73.58 | |
| EUR/USD | 1.1631 | 1.1686 | 1.1612 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2745 | 1.2806 | 1.2687 |
| USD/JPY | 105.60 | 105.71 | 105.24 |
Daily Support/Resistance table
| CurrencyPairs | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
| EURO/USD | 1.1643 | 1.1674 | 1.1717 | 1.16 | 1.1569 | ||
| GBP/USD | 1.2746 | 1.2805 | 1.2865 | 1.2686 | 1.2627 | ||
| USD/JPY | 105.51
|
105.79 | 105.99 | 105.31 | 105.03
|
|
|
| USD/INR | 73.65 | 73.72 | 73.85 | 73.52 | 73.45 |
MAJOR SUPPORTS/RESISTANCES AND TREND TABLE
| Curency Pair | Supports | Resistances | Trend | Remarks |
| EURO/USD | 1.1580 | 1.1750 | SIDE | DN<1.15 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2670/1.2480 | 1.3010 | DN | UP>1.3010 |
| USD/JPY | 104.10 | 107 | DN | UP>107 |
| USD/INR | 73.65/73.45 | 74.25 | DN | UP>74.50 |
| USD/CHF | 0.90 | 0.92 | UP | DN<0.9150 |
Technicals: Spot closed below 200 day moving average. 20 day moving average is at 73.48. 50 day moving average is at 74.22.200 day moving average is at 73.84. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying bottom at 72.70. Important support is at 73.45/73.15 and important resistance is at 74 and later at 74.50. Spot closed below its average level of the day.
Intra day supports and resistances for Sep contract are:
PP:73.72,S1:73.55, S2:73.41, R1:73.86, R2: 74.03.
Hedging strategy for USD/INR: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.
CROSS CURRENCY TECHNICALS:
EURO/USD: The pair is above 100 and 200 day major moving averages, but below 20 and 50 day moving averages. Next Major resistance is at 1.1750 and later at 1.19. Major support is at 1.1580. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying an important top at 1.20. Weekly MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.20.
GBP/USD: The pair is set to enter into bear territory. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.3484 and weekly MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.3484. Important support is at 1.2670/1.2470 . Important resistance is at 1.30 and later at around 1.31.
USD/YEN: The pair is below major moving averages. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 104. Next important resistance is at 107. Important support is at at 104.10.
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