USDINR opened at 74.31 y’day and the pair traded in the 74.24-74.45 range. Spot USDINR closed at 74.30 , loss of 2 ps for USD as against prior close of 74.32. RBI reference rate was fixed at 74.39 on Tuesday. Aug USD/INR closed at 74.29, gain of 1 ps for USD as compared to prior day’s close of 74.28. Aug Euro/INR closed at 87.74, GBP/INR at 97.70 and Yen/INR at 69.95.
FII’S have nett bought Rs 33386 Cr of Indian Equities in August till date . FII’S have nett sold Rs 202 Cr of Indian debt securities in August till date. In FY 19-20, FII’s have sold Rs 10200 Cr of Equities and 47393 cr of debt.
Benchmark Nifty climbed 0.67% Y’day. DOW climbed 83 points (0.30%) Y’day.Nikkei declined 0.03% and Hang seng climbed 0.02% y’day.
Euro is now at 1.1830,Pound at 1.3207,Yen at 106.04.
Commodities: Gold is now at USD 1952 and WT1Crude at USD 43.35/Brent at USD 46.18.
Interest rates: USD 10 Yr yield is at 0.692% and 3 m libor closed at 0.25%. Indian 10 yr benchmark yield closed at 6.22%.
Economic news: Indian Q1 GDP is to be released on Aug 31 st. Expect contraction between 20% and 25% in Q1, due to intense lockdown. US durables order expanded for the third straight consecutive month. US indices rallied to new highs on upbeat corporate results. Fed Chairman’s speech at a symposium will be keenly watched for inflation target and dovish stance.
Data highlights : – US durables order climbed 11.2% m/m.
Thursday’s calendar: – US Weekly jobless claims and pending home sales
| USD/INR | 74.45 | 74.24 | |
| EUR/USD | 1.1831 | 1.1841 | 1.1772 |
| GBP/USD | 1.3207 | 1.3220 | 1.3117 |
| USD/JPY | 106.04 | 106.56 | 105.83 |
Daily Support/Resistance table
| CurrencyPairs | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
| EURO/USD | 1.1818 | 1.1864 | 1.1888 | 1.1934 | 1.1795 | 1.1748 | 1.1725 |
| GBP/USD | 1.3185 | 1.3253 | 1.3288 | 1.3356 | 1.3150 | 1.3082 | 1.3047 |
| USD/JPY | 106.09
|
106.35 | 106.81 | 107.07 | 105.62 | 105.37 | 104.90
|
| USD/INR | 74.33 | 74.42 | 74.54 | 74.21 | 74.12 |
MAJOR SUPPORTS/RESISTANCES AND TREND TABLE
| Curency Pair | Supports | Resistances | Trend | Remarks |
| EURO/USD | 1.17/1.1540 | 1.1965 | UP | SIDE<1.17 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2980/1.2810/1.2670 | 1.3270 | UP | SIDE<1.2980 |
| USD/JPY | 105.30/104.10 | 107 | DN | UP>107 |
| USD/INR | 74/73.65 | 74.50/75.05 | DN | UP>75 |
| USD/CHF | 0.9010 | 0.9240 | DN | UP>0.9240 |
Technicals: Spot closed above 200 day moving average. 20 day moving average is at 74.80. 50 day moving average is at 75.05.200 day moving average is at 73.52. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying top at 75.10. Important support is at 74/73.65 and important resistance is at 74.50 and later at 75.05. Spot closed below its average level of the day.
Intra day supports and resistances for Aug contract are:
PP:74.33,S1:74.19, S2:74.09, R1:74.43, R2: 74.57
Hedging strategy for USD/INR: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.
CROSS CURRENCY TECHNICALS:
EURO/USD: The pair is above 50 and 200 day major moving average. Next Major resistance is at 1.1965 and later at 1.21. Major support is at 1.17 with next support at 1.14. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying an important top at 1.1967. Weekly MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.0650.
GBP/USD: The pair may have peaked temporarily but is above major major moving averages.Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.3270 and weekly MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.14. Important support is at 1.2980 and later at 1.2670. Important resistance is at 1.3270.
USD/YEN: The pair is below major moving averages. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 107. Next important resistance is at 107. Important support is at 104.10.
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