USDINR opened at 74.70 y’day and the pair traded in the 74.70-74.90 range. Spot USDINR closed at 74.84 , gain of 1 ps for USD as against prior close of 74.83. RBI reference rate was fixed at 74.76 y’day. July USD/INR closed at 74.81, loss of 7 ps for USD as compared to prior day’s close of 74.88. July Euro/INR closed at 87.70, GBP/INR at 96.27 and Yen/INR at 70.99.
FII’S have nett bought Rs 2165 Cr of Indian Equities in July . FII’S have nett sold Rs 1383 Cr of Indian debt securities in July. In FY 19-20, FII’s have sold Rs 10200 Cr of Equities and 47393 cr of debt.
Benchmark Nifty declined 0.56% y’day. DOW climbed 118 points (0.43%) y’day.Nikkei declined 0.16% and Hang seng declined 0.25% y’day.
Euro is now at 1.1764,Pound at 1.2889,Yen at 105.31.
Commodities: Gold is now at USD 1965 and WT1Crude at USD 41.78/Brent at USD 44.19.
Interest rates: USD 10 Yr yield is at 0.62% and 3 m libor closed at 0.27%. Indian 10 yr benchmark yield closed at 5.81%.
Economic news: Euro and Gold extended their powerful rallies as markets are on edge over worsening US-China relations and rising corona infections in US and Asia. US durables order and German Ifo survey beat expectations.
Data highlights : US durables order climbed 7.3% m/m.
-German Ifo business survey climbed to 90.5.
Tuesday’s calendar: – US house price index and consumer confidence.
| USD/INR | 74.90 | 74.67 | |
| EUR/USD | 1.1764 | 1.1782 | 1.1650 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2889 | 1.2903 | 1.2794 |
| USD/JPY | 105.31 | 106.06 | 105.12 |
Daily Support/Resistance table
| CurrencyPairs | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
| EURO/USD | 1.1733 | 1.1816 | 1.1865 | 1.1948 | 1.1684 | 1.1601 | 1.1552 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2862 | 1.2930 | 1.2971 | 1.3039 | 1.2821 | 1.2753 | 1.2712 |
| USD/JPY | 105.48
|
105.84 | 106.41 | 106.77 | 104.90 | 104.55 | 103.97
|
| USD/INR | 74.80 | 74.94 | 75.04 | 74.70 | 74.56 |
MAJOR SUPPORTS/RESISTANCES AND TREND TABLE
| Curency Pair | Supports | Resistances | Trend | Remarks |
| EURO/USD | 1.1450/1.1350 | 1.1850 | SIDE | DN<1.1165 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2480/1.2250 | 1.2820/1.32 | UP | SIDE<1.2550 |
| USD/JPY | 104.50 | 107.45/108.10 | DN | UP>108.10 |
| USD/INR | 74.50 | 75.50 | DN | UP>75.50 |
| USD/CHF | 0.92 | 0.9320/0.95 | DN | UP>0.97 |
Technicals: Spot closed above 200 day moving average. 20 day moving average is at 75.02. 50 day moving average is at 75.46.200 day moving average is at 73.25. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying top at 75.50. Important support is at 74.50. Spot closed below its average level of the day.
Intra day supports and resistances for July contract are:
PP:74.75,S1:74.60, S2:74.41, R1:74.95, R2: 75.10
Hedging strategy for USD/INR: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.
CROSS CURRENCY TECHNICALS:
EURO/USD: The pair is above 50 and 200 day major moving average. Next Major resistance is at 1.1850. Major support is at 1.1450 and later at 1.1350. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying an important bottom at 1.1165. Weekly MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.0650.
GBP/USD: The pair has turned bullish and is above major major moving average.Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.2250 and weekly MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.14. Important resistance is at 1.2810 and later at 1.32. Important support is at 1.2480 and later at 1.2250.
USD/YEN: The pair is below major moving averages. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 108.15. Next important resistance is at 107.45 and later at 108.15. Important support is at 104.50.
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