USDINR opened at 74.90 on Friday and the pair traded in the 74.80-74.98 range. Spot USDINR closed at 74.83 , gain of 7 ps for USD as against prior close of 74.76. RBI reference rate was fixed at 74.86 on Friday. July USD/INR closed at 74.88, gain of 4 ps for USD as compared to prior day’s close of 74.84. July Euro/INR closed at 86.69, GBP/INR at 95.37 and Yen/INR at 70.38.

FII’S have nett bought Rs 2165 Cr of Indian Equities in July . FII’S have nett sold Rs 1383 Cr of Indian debt securities in July. In FY 19-20, FII’s have sold Rs 10200 Cr of Equities and 47393 cr of debt.

Benchmark Nifty declined 0.19% on Friday. DOW declined 182 points (0.68%) on Friday.Nikkei declined 0.58% and Hang seng declined 2.21% on Friday.

Euro closed the week at 1.1656,Pound at 1.2791,Yen at 106.14. 

Commodities: Gold is now at USD 1899 and WT1Crude at USD 41.34/Brent at USD 43.34.

Interest rates: USD 10 Yr yield is at 0.587% and 3 m libor closed at 0.27%. Indian 10 yr benchmark yield closed at 5.81%.

Economic news: EU and UK manufacturing and services survey showed that the EU economy has started on a strong footing in this quarter.Gold extended its rally to USD 1900.US-China tensions and increasing corona infections cloud future economic outlook despite the recent robust data from US and EU.  Focus is on US FOMC meeting.

 Data highlights : US new home sales climbed to 776k.

-EU PMI(mfrg) showed that mfrg expanded with reading at 51.1. and PMI(services) at 55.1.

-UK PMI(mfrg) was reported at 53.6 and PMI(services) at 56.6 and retail salesclimbed 13.9% m/m.

Monday’s calendar: – US durables order.

USD/INR   74.98 74.80
EUR/USD 1.1656 1.1659 1.1580
GBP/USD 1.2791 1.2804 1.2717
USD/JPY 106.14 106.92 105.68

Daily Support/Resistance table

CurrencyPairs Pivot R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3
EURO/USD 1.1631 1.1683 1.1710    1.1603  1.1552  
GBP/USD 1.2770  1.2824  1.2857   1.2736 1.2683  
USD/JPY 106.24


 106.81  107.49   105.56 105.99  


USD/INR 74.87 74.94 75.05   74.76 74.69


Curency Pair Supports Resistances Trend Remarks
EURO/USD 1.1450/1.1350 1.1850 SIDE DN<1.1165
GBP/USD 1.2480/1.2250 1.2820/1.32 UP SIDE<1.2550
USD/JPY 104.50 107.45/108.10 DN UP>108.10
USD/INR 74.50 75.50 DN UP>75.50
USD/CHF 0.92 0.9320/0.95 DN UP>0.97

Technicals: Spot closed above 200 day moving average. 20 day moving average is at 75.05. 50 day moving average is at 75.47.200 day moving average is at 73.25. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying top at 75.50. Important support is at 74.50. Spot closed below its average level of the day.

Intra day supports and resistances for July contract are:

PP:74.88,S1:74.77, S2:74.70, R1:74.96, R2: 75.06                         

Hedging strategy for USD/INR: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.


EURO/USD: The pair is above 50 and 200 day major moving average. Next Major resistance is at 1.1850. Major support is at 1.1450 and later at 1.1350. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying an important bottom at 1.1165. Weekly MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.0650.

GBP/USD: The pair has turned bullish and is above major major moving average.Daily MACD  is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.2250 and weekly MACD is  in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.14. Important resistance is at 1.2810 and later at 1.32. Important support is at 1.2480 and later at 1.2250.

USD/YEN: The pair is below major moving averages. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 108.15. Next important resistance is at 107.45 and later at 108.15. Important support is at 104.50.

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