USDINR opened at 75.16 on Friday and the pair traded in the 75.14-75.34 range. Spot USDINR closed at 75.21 , gain of 22 ps for USD as against prior close of 74.99. RBI reference rate was fixed at 75.28 on Friday. July USD/INR closed at 75.40, gain of 29 ps for USD as compared to prior day’s close of 75.11. July Euro/INR closed at 85.16, GBP/INR at 95.10 and Yen/INR at 70.60.
FII’S have nett sold Rs 267 sold Cr of Indian Equities in July . FII’S have nett sold Rs 402 Cr of Indian debt securities in July. In FY 19-20, FII’s have sold Rs 10200 Cr of Equities and 47393 cr of debt.
Benchmark Nifty declined 0.42% on Friday. DOW climbed 369 points (1.44%) on Friday.Nikkei declined 1.06% and Hang seng declined 1.84% on Friday.
Euro closed the week at 1.1300,Pound at 1.2622,Yen at 106.90.
Commodities: Gold is now at USD 1801 and WT1Crude at USD 40.56/Brent at USD 43.27.
Interest rates: USD 10 Yr yield is at 0.633% and 3 m libor closed at 0.27%. Indian 10 yr benchmark yield closed at 5.76%.
Economic news: US data offered hope for sharp recovery, though clouded by increasing infections and reimposition of lock downs in some states.US ISM (mfrg) data was back in expansion mode. Indian IIP contracted by 34.7% in May over last year, compared to a revised contraction of 57.6% in April. Mfrg declined 39.3% in May. Mining output declined 21.4% and electricity generation contracted 15.4% in April.
Data highlights : US PPI declined -0.2% m/m.
Monday’s calendar: – No major data release.
| USD/INR | 75.34 | 75.14 | |
| EUR/USD | 1.1300 | 1.1326 | 1.1255 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2622 | 1.2665 | 1.2566 |
| USD/JPY | 106.90 | 107.27 | 106.64 |
Daily Support/Resistance table
| CurrencyPairs | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
| EURO/USD | 1.1293 | 1.1332 | 1.1364 | 1.1260 | 1.1222 | ||
| GBP/USD | 1.2617 | 1.2669 | 1.2717 | 1.2569 | 1.2517 | ||
| USD/JPY | 106.93
|
107.23 | 107.56 | 106.59 | 106.30 |
|
|
| USD/INR | 75.23 | 75.32 | 75.43 | 75.12 | 75.03 |
MAJOR SUPPORTS/RESISTANCES AND TREND TABLE
| Curency Pair | Supports | Resistances | Trend | Remarks |
| EURO/USD | 1.1165/1.1020 | 1.1425 | SIDE | DN<1.10 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2250/1.2075 | 1.27/1.2810 | SIDE | UP>1.27 |
| USD/JPY | 106 | 108.10/109.85 | SIDE | UP>108.10 |
| USD/INR | 75.02/74.93/74.50 | 75.40 | DN | UP>75.50 |
| USD/CHF | 0.9320/0.92 | 0.95 | DN | UP>0.97 |
Technicals: Spot closed above 200 day moving average. 20 day moving average is at 75.52. 50 day moving average is at 75.58.200 day moving average is at 73.05. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying top at 76.30. Important support is at 74.50/74.10. Spot closed below its average level of the day.
Intra day supports and resistances for July contract are:
PP:75.33,S1:75.19, S2:74.99, R1:75.53, R2: 75.67
Hedging strategy for USD/INR: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.
CROSS CURRENCY TECHNICALS:
EURO/USD: The pair is above 50 and 200 day major moving average. Next Major resistance is at 1.1425. Major support is at 1.1165 and later at 1.1020. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying an important bottom at 1.1168. Weekly MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.0650.
GBP/USD: The pair has turned sideways and is below 200 day major moving average.Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.2250 and weekly MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.14. Important resistance is at 1.27 and later at 1.2810. Important support is at 1.2250 and later at 1.2075.
USD/YEN: The pair is below major moving averages. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 108.15. Next important resistance is at 108.15. Important support is at 106.
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