USDINR opened lower at 75.85 y’day and the pair traded in the 75.64-75.89 range. Spot USDINR closed at 75.64 , loss of 38 ps for USD as against prior close of 76.02. RBI reference rate was fixed at 75.75 y’day. June USD/INR closed at 75.56, loss of 51 ps for USD as compared to prior day’s close of 76.07. June Euro/INR closed at 85.31, GBP/INR at 94.15 and Yen/INR at 70.61.
FII’S have nett bought Rs 21428 Cr of Indian Equities in June . FII’S have nett sold Rs 3123 Cr of Indian debt securities in June. In FY 19-20, FII’s have sold Rs 10200 Cr of Equities and 47393 cr of debt.
Benchmark Nifty climbed 1.55% y’day. DOW climbed 131 points (0.50%) y’day. Nikkei climbed 0.50% and Hang seng climbed 1.62% y’ day.
Euro is now at 1.1320,Pound at 1.2529,Yen at 106.45.
Commodities: Gold is now at USD 1788 and WT1Crude at USD 40/Brent at USD 42.40.
Interest rates: USD 10 Yr yield is at 0.722% and 3 m libor closed at 0.31%. Indian 10 yr benchmark yield closed at 5.89%.
Economic news: :- EU and UK PMI(mfrg) sowed optimism for Q3 growth. France and Australian mfrg entered into expansion mode. Rupee gained and Indian Equity indices extended its rally as India-China tensions receded with disengagement talks being fruiful.
Data highlights : – US new home sales climbed to 676k.
-EU PMI(mfrg) improved to 46.9, PMI(services) improved to 47.5.
-UK PMI(mfrg) was back in expansion mode at 50.1. PMI(services) improved to 47.
Wednesday’s calendar: – German Ifo survey
Daily Support/Resistance table
MAJOR SUPPORTS/RESISTANCES AND TREND TABLE
Technicals: Spot closed above 200 day moving average. 20 day moving average is at 75.77. 50 day moving average is at 75.89.200 day moving average is at 72.70. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying bottom at 75.05. Important support is at 75.40/75.25. Spot closed below its average level of the day.
Intra day supports and resistances for June contract are:
PP:75.68,S1:75.42, S2:75.29, R1:75.81, R2: 76.07
Hedging strategy for USD/INR: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.
CROSS CURRENCY TECHNICALS:
EURO/USD: The pair is above 50 and 200 day major moving average. Next Major resistance is at 1.1425. Major support is at 1.1020. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying an important top at 1.1425. Weekly MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.0650.
GBP/USD: The pair has turned bearish and is below 200 day major moving average.Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.2810 and weekly MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 1.2275. Important resistance is at 1.2810. Important support is at 1.2250 and later at 1.2075.
USD/YEN: The pair is below major moving averages. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 110. Next important resistance is at 108.45. Important support is at 106.
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