FX – MORNING UPDATE :
USDINR opened at 82.64 y’day and the pair traded in the 82.57-82.77 range. Spot USDINR closed at 82.77, gain of 5 ps for USD as against prior close of 82.72. Rupee declined 52 ps and closed at 82.77 on Aug end as compared to 82.25 in July.
RBI reference rate was fixed at 82.67 on 31/08. Sep USD/INR closed at 82.82, gain of 2 ps for USD as compared to prior day’s close of 82.80. Sep Euro/INR closed at 90.08, GBP/INR at 104.89 and Yen/INR at 57.05. 1 year USDINR fwd premia was trading at around 1.63% p.a. FX reserves stood at USD 594 bn as on Aug 18 th. FX reserves declined by USD 8 bn.
| PAIRS | RBI REF RATE (31/08) |
| USDINR | 82.67 |
| EURINR | 90.22 |
| GBPINR | 105.09 |
| JPYINR | 56.63 |
In Aug, FPI’S have bought Rs 11464 Cr of Equities and bought Rs 5692 Cr of debt . In 2022-23 fiscal year, FII’S have net sold Rs 27593 Cr of Equities and have net bought Rs 838 Cr of debt.
Benchmark Nifty declined 63 points (0.32%) y’day. US S&P declined 7 points (0.16%) . Nikkei climbed 0.38% and Hang Seng climbed 0.07%.
Euro is now at 1.0849, Pound at 1.2673, Yen at 145.38.
Commodities: Gold is now at USD 1967 and WT1Crude at USD 84/Brent at USD 87.
Interest rates: USD 10 Yr yield is at 4.11% and 3 m libor closed at 5.65%. Indian 10 yr benchmark yield closed at 7.17%.
Economic news: Indian Q1 GDP climbed 7.8%. India is the fastest growing economy as China’s Q1 growth was 6.3%. Agriculture sector recorded a 3.5 per cent growth. Mfrg sector growth decelerated to 4.7%. Construction sector grew by 7.9%. Services sector grew by 12.2%. Mining sector grew by 5.8%.Growth was supported by a strong uptick in private consumer and investment spending, which grew by 6 per cent and 7.8 per cent respectively.
Core sector output expanded 8 per cent year-on-year in July. It came in lower than the 8.2 per cent mark registered in June.
US PCE price index climbed from 3.0% yoy to 3.3% yoy, while Core PCE price index ascended from 4.1% to 4.2%, both in alignment with market predictions.
Data highlights: – US Weekly jobless claims declined to 228k, Personal spending rose 0.8% m/m, income rose 0.2% m/m and Core PCE Index grew by 0.2% m/m
-EU flash CPI climbed 5.3% y/y, Unemployment rate was reported at 6.4%.
-German retail sales declined -0.8% m/m.
Friday’s calendar : US Employment data
-US ISM (mfrg) and construction spending
-EU PMI(mfrg-final) and UK PMI(mfrg-final)
| USD/INR | 82.77 | 82.57 | ||
| EUR/USD |
1.0849 |
1.0941 | 1.0834 | |
| GBP/USD |
1.2673 |
1.2736 | 1.2651 | |
| USD/JPY |
145.38 |
146.26 | 145.35 |
Daily Support/Resistance table
| Currency Pairs | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 | S1 | S2 | S3 |
| EURO/USD | 1.0872 | 1.0910 | 1.0978 | 1.1016 | 1.0803 | 1.0766 | 1.0697 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2687 | 1.2723 | 1.2771 | 1.2807 | 1.2638 | 1.2603 | 1.2554 |
| USD/JPY | 145.71 | 146.07 | 146.61 | 146.97 | 145.16 | 144.81 | 144.26 |
| USD/INR | 82.70 | 82.83 | 82.90 | 82.63 | 82.50 |
MAJOR SUPPORTS/RESISTANCES AND TREND TABLE
| Currency Pair | Supports | Resistances | Trend | Remarks |
| EURO/USD | 1.0765/1.0635 | 1.0945/1.1065 | DN | UP>1.1070 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2350 | 1.28/1.30/1.3150 | DN | UP>1.2820 |
| USD/JPY | 144.50/142 | 147 | UP | SIDE<143.90 |
| USD/INR | 82.35/82.25 | 82.70/82.86/83.14 | SIDE | UP>82.70 |
| USD/CHF | 0.87/0.8550 | 0.8820 | DN | SIDE>0.8820 |
Technicals: Spot closed above 50 and 200 day moving averages.20 day moving average is at 82.80. 50 day moving average is at 82.39.200 day moving average is at 82.25. Daily MACD is in sell zone. Important support is at 82.55/82.35/82.25 and important resistance is at 82.86/83.14. Spot closed above the average level of the day.
Intraday supports and resistances for Sep contract are:
PP: 82.78, S1:82.69, S2:82.57, R1:82.90, R2:82.99.
Hedging strategy: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.
However on directional basis, suggest the following:
USD exports be hedged at 83.30/83.50. Imports be hedged at 82.35.
CROSS CURRENCY TECHNICALS:
EURO/USD: The pair is below major moving averages. Major resistance is at 1.0925/1.1065/1.1140/1.1275.
GBP/USD: The pair is still above 200 day moving averages, but below 50 and 100 day averages. Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.3145 and weekly MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.3145. Important support is at 1.2350. Important resistance is at 1.2820/1.30/1.3145.
USD/YEN: The pair is above 50 and 200 day major averages. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 137.35. Important resistance is at 147 and support is at 144/142.
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April 25, 2024Understanding COSC Validation and Its Importance in Watchmaking
COSC Validation and its Rigorous Standards
Controle Officiel Suisse des Chronometres, or the Controle Officiel Suisse des Chronometres, is the authorized Switzerland testing agency that attests to the precision and precision of timepieces. COSC accreditation is a sign of quality craftsmanship and reliability in chronometry. Not all timepiece brands pursue COSC validation, such as Hublot, which instead adheres to its own demanding standards with mechanisms like the UNICO, attaining comparable accuracy.
The Art of Precision Timekeeping
The central mechanism of a mechanical watch involves the spring, which supplies power as it unwinds. This system, however, can be prone to environmental factors that may impact its accuracy. COSC-validated movements undergo strict testing—over fifteen days in various conditions (five positions, three temperatures)—to ensure their resilience and dependability. The tests evaluate:
Average daily rate precision between -4 and +6 secs.
Mean variation, peak variation rates, and impacts of temperature variations.
Why COSC Validation Matters
For timepiece enthusiasts and collectors, a COSC-certified timepiece isn’t just a piece of technology but a demonstration to enduring quality and precision. It signifies a watch that:
Provides excellent dependability and precision.
Provides confidence of quality across the whole design of the watch.
Is apt to hold its value more efficiently, making it a sound choice.
Well-known Chronometer Brands
Several renowned manufacturers prioritize COSC certification for their watches, including Rolex, Omega, Breitling, and Longines, among others. Longines, for instance, presents collections like the Archive and Soul, which feature COSC-accredited mechanisms equipped with cutting-edge materials like silicone balance suspensions to improve durability and performance.
Historical Context and the Evolution of Timepieces
The notion of the chronometer originates back to the need for precise timekeeping for navigational at sea, highlighted by John Harrison’s work in the 18th cent. Since the formal establishment of COSC in 1973, the validation has become a standard for judging the accuracy of luxury timepieces, maintaining a legacy of superiority in watchmaking.
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Owning a COSC-certified watch is more than an visual selection; it’s a dedication to quality and accuracy. For those appreciating precision above all, the COSC accreditation provides peacefulness of mind, guaranteeing that each validated watch will operate reliably under various conditions. Whether for personal contentment or as an investment decision, COSC-certified timepieces stand out in the world of horology, maintaining on a tradition of careful chronometry.
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